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|Основы социологии Автор Giacomo L. Издательство Книга по Требованию|
I don't want to sound like a New Age guru, but there are curious parallels between this idea and the Hindu philosophical view that there is no essential difference between self and others or that the self is an illusion. Now I have no clue what the solution to the problem of self is, what the shift in perspective might be. If I did I would dash off a paper to Nature today, and overnight I'd be the most famous scientist alive. But just for fun let me have a crack at it, at what the solution might look like. Our brains were essentially model-making machines. We need to construct useful, virtual reality simulations of the world that we can act on. Within the simulation, we need also to construct models of other people's minds because we're intensely social creatures, us primates. We need to do this so we can predict their behaviour. We are, after all, the Machiavellian primate. For example, you want to know was what he did a wilful action. In that case he might repeat it. Or was it involuntary in which case it's quite benign ...
|Managing Business Model Risk. Resequencing, Re-Allocation and Backups|
In essay 3, we examine the role of demand uncertainty on a multi-tier supply chain.
|Using Visual Basic. NET and Databases to Create Pricing, Trading, and Risk Management Models (+ CD-ROM) Modeling Financial Markets.|
Limitations in popular software packages for financial modeling system development, however, can threaten the viability of any system—not to mention the firm using that system.
|Credit Risk Modelling|
|The Dynamics of At-the-Money Implied Volatility with its Applications A Risk Neutral Stochastic Implied Volatility Model and Applications.|
We proved that the implied volatility of At-the-Money options mature immediately should converge to underlying volatility at the rate of time to maturity, which specifies the stochastic process of underlying volatility.
|Eine Analyse des Country Risk Assessment Model der OECD Laenderrisiko, Ratingagenturen.|
Vor allem die Kritik der Performance der Ratingagenturen waehrend der Asienkrise, in der diese das Laenderrisiko nicht richtig einschaetzen konnten und somit die Asienkrise weiter verschaerften, hat dazu gefuehrt, dass auch ein alternatives Laenderrisikomodell in dieser Arbeit untersucht wurde:
|Economic Capital Allocation in Retail Banks. Building up a bank wide economic capital allocation model for risk adjusted performance measurement - fundamentals, concepts, methods|
This book is mainly addressed to risk managers in financial business and should help the reader to get an idea about setting up a risk adjusted performance measurement model considering most important risks occurring in banking world.
|Violence Risk Assessment in Schools. Exploring the Predictive Validity of the Structured Professional Judgment Model|
In a sample of 87 adolescent students, the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth was administered in accordance with the Structured Professional Judgment model on which it was developed.
|Modeling in Natural Resource Economics. Forecasting Electricity Demand, and Simulating Landowner Response to Wildfire Risk|
Using hourly models and data for the U. S. mid-Atlantic, the model predicts a 4. 6% Chapter II offers an introduction to modeling with artificial neural networks (ANNs) for researchers familiar with OLS techniques.
|A Model for Assessing Performance System Risk. An Exploratory Study of the Organizational Performance System (OPS) Instrument as an Identifier of Performance System Risk|
Performance systems comprise the equivalent of an organizational spine that, like human spines, require alignment without hyper states of rigidity or flexibility.
|Using a Protection-Risk Interaction Mechanism (PRIM) Model as a Framework Aggression Among Female Adolescents.|
Based on the developmental processes of gender identity, socialization, and social-information processing, possible theoretical explanations as to the function of aggression among female adolescents are offered.
|Credit Risk Modeling. An Empirical Analysis on Pricing, Procyclicality and Dependence|
The second section analyses the relationship between credit default swap index spread and stock market returns and the third section provides a comprehensive analysis on the cyclicality of default rates,recovery rates and their dependence using financial data provided by Bank Call Reports from 1991 to 2005 for all US commercial banks with total assets greater than $300 millions.
|Highway Asset Management under Risk and Uncertainty. Methodology, Models and Application|
Highway project evaluation and project selection are key steps in the investment decision-making process.
|Multivariate Assessment of Stage Profiles and Predictors of Exercise. The Transtheoretical Model Applied to a Multiple Risk Sample|
The challenge is to design interventions customized to a single individual based on his or her unique behavior, situation, and characteristics.
|Water Supply, Sanitation, and Gastrointestinal Illness. Estimating the Risk of Disease Using Cross-sectional Data and Marginal Structural Models|
Recently developed methods in biostatistics allow investigators, under certain conditions, to estimate the causal effects associated with an exposure using observational data.
|Auto Wars. Enterprise Risk Management Model for Corporate Sustainability in the Automotive Business|
Automotive companies face unexpected threats and opportunities depending on the degree of uncertainty and rapid changes in the automotive industry.
|Extreme Risk Analysis of Dynamic Interdependent Systems. With Applications to Sectors of the Economy and Financial Modeling|
An innovative methodology is discussed in this book to utilize the industry-type interdependency matrix to estimate portfolio VaR under extreme conditions.
|Environmental Finances. A contribution to the model of valuation to Brazilian risk of credit, aggregating the environmental variable|
Notedly, are rares evaluation models of the credit risk aggregating the environmental variable as much it isnt part of the intention of methodology, as by the method isn' t transparent about its methodology. This work intends to contribute for the development of a model about the evaluation of the credit risk, aggregating the environmental variable. Thus, this research was based on an exploratory methodology which technique was essentially made by a bibliographic survey, with the principal purpose to present a manner of mensuration and identification of the more frequently risks under the optical of the concession of credit. It were accosted aspects of financial management, of environmental law and Brazilian Legislation, as well as the analysis of some eco-efficiency and environmental indexes. At last, based upon some systems of risks classification, it was presented a contribution to the model of evaluation of risk, aggregating the environmental variable. This collaboration should be specially useful to professionals in Financial Risks fields, or anyone who has interest in Environmental Finances. In this century, the world is directed to the environmental problems.
|SURVIVAL OF TUBERCULOSIS PATIENTS TREATED UNDER DOTS. Estimation of Survival Probabilities and Identify the Risk Factors for Death of Tuberculosis Patients Using the Kaplan-Meier and Cox-Regression Model|
In developing countries, like Ethiopia, tuberculosis continues to be a major health problem.
Risk modeling is one of many subtasks within the broader area of financial modeling.
|Structural Credit Risk Models. An Empirical Study|
To better examine their differences, the models are benchmarked against the much celebrated Merton' s model. Generally it is shown that structural credit risk models have empirical validity. However, all is not perfect. Since structural credit risk models may have two objectives. One being to accurately predict credit spreads, and another to determine the optimal capital structure. It is argued that if the goal is the former, then future structural models need to incorporate a more ? exible framework that can price the many di? erent types of bonds that make up a company' s debt simultaneously.
|Молочный гриб натуральный источник бифидобактерий и аминокислот|
|Кефирный гриб это неиссякаемый источник целебного кефира|
|Кефирный гриб прекрасно растет в домашних условиях и плодоносит|